Banca de QUALIFICAÇÃO: ADRIANO DE OLIVEIRA DA SILVA

Uma banca de QUALIFICAÇÃO de MESTRADO foi cadastrada pelo programa.
STUDENT : ADRIANO DE OLIVEIRA DA SILVA
DATE: 20/10/2021
TIME: 15:00
LOCAL: meet.google.com/amb-nook-xsy
TITLE:

Cost of the oil deficit for the economy of the state of Rio de Janeiro

KEY WORDS:

Oil production; Sectoral impacts; Rio de Janeiro

PAGES: 27
BIG AREA: Ciências Sociais Aplicadas
AREA: Economia
SUBÁREA: Economia Regional e Urbana
SUMMARY:

The sectors associated to oil activity are very important to the economy of the state of Rio de Janeiro (ERJ) in relation to production, employment and income (Silva et al., 2016). In 2015, the ERJ produced 67% of the oil and 40% of the brazilian gas (ANP, 2016). Despite the excellent industry results, oil activity is sparse in the ERJ and is susceptible to external factors such as international oil price policy, oil geopolitics, Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) regulations and norms and even wars in producer countries. Given the external vulnerability inherent to oil activities, public policies for regional development specific to the oil sector lose autonomy. Given the above, it is necessary to understand, analyze and quantify the dependence of the economy of the ERJ on the oil sector. To undertake such analysis, a hypothetical input-output extraction method proposed by Dietzenbacher et al. (1993) for the year 2015. This methodology will make it possible to estimate the variation in the Gross Production Value (GPV) of the ERJ resulting from the simulation of the retraction of the Rio de Janeiro oil sector in the percentages of 5%, 7%, 12%, 17%, 19%, 23%, 31%, 53%, 71% and 99%. Through these retractions it will be possible to build the oil deficit cost curve for the economy of the ERJ. Among the main results, it was found that when the sector shrinks 99%, ERJ's GDP reduces 15.11%. Through these findings, it is possible to conclude that the ERJ must implement an active industrial policy with the objective of densifying, diversifying and modernizing the productive structure in order to promote the State's economic development.

BANKING MEMBERS:
Presidente - 1847490 - JOILSON DE ASSIS CABRAL
Interno - 1793270 - EVERLAM ELIAS MONTIBELER
Externa à Instituição - ADRIANA FIOROTTI CAMPOS - UFES