Banca de DEFESA: PAULO VITOR DOS SANTOS LIMA

Uma banca de DEFESA de MESTRADO foi cadastrada pelo programa.
STUDENT : PAULO VITOR DOS SANTOS LIMA
DATE: 27/05/2024
TIME: 10:00
LOCAL: Google meet (http://meet.google.com/jhs-cuwk-bro)
TITLE:

Smithereens on Green: The Influence of Organized Crime on Urban Sprawl and Deforestation in Rio de Janeiro.

KEY WORDS:

Urban Sprawl; Militias; Deforestation; Rio de Janeiro.

PAGES: 65
BIG AREA: Ciências Sociais Aplicadas
AREA: Economia
SUBÁREA: Economia Regional e Urbana
SUMMARY:

Urban growth has intensified as a growing concern as cities expand their borders and
increase their populations. Projections indicate an increase in urban areas of 1.2 to 1.8 million
km2 between 2000 and 2030 due to population growth and economic development (Seto et al.,
2012; GÜNERALP & Seto, 2013; McDonald et al., 2018). In Brazil, the transformation of the
urban structure is evident, with the urban population increasing from 55.9% in 1970 to 86.3%
in 2020 (IPEA, 2022). This increase is particularly notable in Rio de Janeiro and the Baixada
Fluminense, regions that this dissertation investigates in the context of urban sprawl and its
intersection with the expansion of paramilitary groups, known as Militias, and their resulting
environmental impacts, primarily deforestation due to irregular occupations and settlements.
The Metropolitan Region of Rio de Janeiro (RMRJ), being the second largest in Brazil in terms
of population, presents significant challenges in terms of urban expansion and crime. This study
seeks to understand the factors contributing to the expansion of the urban fabric and examines
whether crime, specifically the rise of militias, serves as a vector for deforestation in the region.
The methodology adopted comprises three main axes: exploratory data analysis (AED), the
construction of the urban infrastructure index (IIU), and logistic regression analysis. Focusing
on the urban area of Rio de Janeiro and the Baixada Fluminense from 2010 onward, this study
seeks to establish which factors would increase the likelihood of deforestation, marked by urban
extension in the RMRJ. The AED revealed notable growth of the militias, as well as a
significant extent of deforestation. The developed IIU demonstrates a deterioration of urban
infrastructure as one moves away from the center, indicating a growing peripheralization of the
RMRJ. Finally, the results of the logistic regression demonstrate that a lower quality of urban
infrastructure is linked to increased chances of deforestation. In addition, militias also represent
a significant factor in deforestation in the region, with the chances of deforestation occurring in
the presence of the militia being 76.1% higher compared to its absence. The assessment of the
effects of crime on urban planning in the RMRJ shows a clear need for integration and
cooperation between public security forces and environmental regulatory agencies. The
analysis suggests that robust public policies are necessary to combat urban sprawl and control
deforestation, with a particular focus on maintaining green areas and managing sustainable
urban growth. The study emphasizes the importance of cooperation between security agencies
and regulatory bodies for the proper enforcement of environmental legislation, as well as
ensuring the safety of inspectors. Furthermore, there is a need for multidisciplinary approaches
in urban planning that consider both security and environmental sustainability to address the
complex challenges that uncontrolled urbanization through irregular occupation is posing to the
ERJ.

COMMITTEE MEMBERS:
Externo à Instituição - EDSON PAULO DOMINGUES - UFMG
Externo à Instituição - MARCELLUS MARQUES CALDAS
Presidente - 1847490 - JOILSON DE ASSIS CABRAL
Externo ao Programa - 387677 - JOSE CLAUDIO SOUZA ALVES - nullInterna - 1863173 - MARIA VIVIANA DE FREITAS CABRAL